This is fine by us, though, because it never requires more than a unit’s investment to take a shot with the Wings at plus-money. The Red Wings won’t likely have a “minus” next to their moneyline price at any point this season, given they were home underdogs to the Blackhawks recently, and there’s no one in the Central perceived as poorly as those two teams. Anything below 50% is usually a sign that a team is struggling to control play. Simply put, an expected goals rate (xGF%) above 50% is considered good because it means a team is creating the majority of the scoring chances. For a team that my model has rated as 1% below average, this feels like a tall task against a team that has had success against the middle of the Central.Įxpected goals (also known as xG) is a predictive statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances, or whether it is down to aspects such as shooting luck or outstanding goaltending. Now, the Predators are expected to transfer momentum from Columbus over to Detroit, and to do so as a -160 road favourite. The second was at home to the Blackhawks, a team I have rated lowest in the Central, according to my “Let’s Do That Hockey” model, as heard on “THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast.” The first was the season-opening pair at home with Columbus when they managed the second win despite being outplayed considerably at even-strength. They’ve won two consecutive games just twice this season. Unfortunately, putting back-to-back quality performances together hasn’t been something the Predators have been able to do often this season. On top of that, they held the Columbus Blue Jackets to just three in the 4-2 win. That said, Nashville put together the best game of its season on Saturday night - a performance that was even more dominant than the scoreboard indicated.įor just the second time all season, the Preds racked up a High-Danger Chance (HDC) count in the double-digits with a season-high 13. The Predators are 5-10 in their last 15 games, so fading them has been a relatively bright idea. On Tuesday night (and again on Thursday, if necessary), we get to smash the two together and take a big bite out of the sandwich. This season in the newly cooked up Central Division, backing the Red Wings as significant underdogs has been my peanut butter, and fading the Predators as favorites has been my jelly. I don’t know if it was the evolution of our taste buds or the eventual creation of more flavorful and savory spreads, but somewhere along the line we went from calling something our “bread and butter” to those same things “going together like peanut butter and jelly.” We’re probably 10 years away from “avocado and toast” replacing both in our cultural lexicon.
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